S&P Futures, Europe, Dollar Drop; Yields Rise As WTI Advances Above $50
Following a November to remember, which saw tremendous market gains following the election of Donald Trump, December has started off on the back foot, with US equity futures lower, European stocks halting a two day advance ahead of the Italian referendum, US Treasury yields higher and the US dollar backing away from a 9 month high.
One place where recent euphoria has continued was oil, where following yesterday’s OPEC oil deal and 9% surge in crude, WTI continued its ascent and was trading above $50 in early trading, however skepticism about the rally is building with stories such as “Oil price rally likely short-lived as OPEC deal not enough to reduce glut” from Reuters and “Hangover Awaits as OPEC Celebrates Its Biggest Accord in Years” from Bloomberg.
Analyst were also skeptical: ‘Oil could go up to $60, but then the shale drillers come out and the price will likely come back down,’ Keigo Matsubara, chief financial officer of the Japanese trading house said in an interview Thursday. ‘Oil can’t continue over $50.’
“The question is whether this (production cut) is going to put a floor under the oil price from here. The answer to that could well depend on what happens with the global economy in the coming year,” said Simon Smith, chief economist at FXPro.
All eyes are now on whether the OPEC deal will hold together. If the bounce in oil prices gathers pace after the OPEC deal it was expected to have a broad implication on the global economy. OPEC’s output cut is also seen as a boon for U. S. shale producers, rivals to the oil cartel. The S&P energy index . SPNY jumped nearly 5 percent on Wednesday.
This post was published at Zero Hedge on Dec 1, 2016.